The State of Trade in the Region 2015-2016

Trade growth in the Asia-Pacific is expected to post a moderate recovery in 2015 with exports growing at 4.9 percent and imports at 3.8 percent, down from 4.5 percent and 4.0 percent respectively in 2014.

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State of the Region Report 2015-2016

Content:

i Executive Summary

The State of Trade in the Region
Contributed by Patrick Low and Eduardo Pedrosa

• Future Drivers of Growth
• Changing Balance between Emerging and Advanced Economies?
  • Figure 1: Asia-Pacific Trade Growth 1990-2019
  • Figure 2: Top Trade Issues APEC Should Address
• Determinants of Export Performance
  • Figure 3: Determinants of Export Performance
  • Figure 4: Views on the Export Growth over the Next Year
  • Figure 5: Views on Export Growth over the Next 5 Years
• Has Trade Reached a Peak?
• Role of Trade in Growth
  • Figure 6: Estimated Change in the Share of Net Exports of GDP from 2000 to 2007
  • Figure 7: Estimated Change in the Share of Net Exports of GDP from 2007 to 2014
  • Figure 8: Has Trade Growth Reached a Peak?
• Risks to Trade
  • Figure 9: Risks to Trade Growth
  • Figure 10: Views on Major Markets
• Oil: Slippery Business
  Figure 11: Oil Prices
• Impediments to Trade
  • Figure 12: Seriousness of Impediments to Trade
  • Figure 13: Seriousness of Regulatory Measures Affecting Service Sectors as an Impediment to Trade
  • Figure 14: Seriousness of Rising Local Content Requirements as in Impediment to Trade
• Trade and Inclusive Growth
  • Figure 15: Asia-Pacific Views on Trade Policy Issues
  • Figure 16: The Asia-Pacific Needs a New Regional Trade Agreement that Includes All APEC Members
  • Figure 17: Free Trade Agreements Should Include Provisions to Protect Workers and Promote Environmental Protection
• A New Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement?
• Limits on the Benefits of Trade
  • Figure 18: Limits on the Benefits of Trade
  • Figure 19: Do supply side constraints limit the benefits of trade for your economy?
  • Figure 20: Do import barriers in your economy hamper participation in global and regional supply chains?
• Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
  • Figure 21: Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
  • Figure 22: Importance of Capacity Building to Meet the FTAAP Standards
  • Figure 23: Business Views on the Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
• Utilization of Trade Agreements
  • Figure 24: Reasons for Low Utilization of Trade Agreements

Annex A: Survey Respondents

Annex B: Survey Questions